فیزیکعلوم پایه

Energy Resources: Production and Consumption

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Energy Resources: Production and Consumption Environmental Sustainability Educational Resources prepared by Gregory A. Keoleian Associate Research Scientist, School of Natural Resources and Environment Co-Director, Center for Sustainable Systems University of Michigan ل 2۸ ١

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Contents + Non-Renewable Energy Resources [slide 3] + Renewable Energy Sources [slide 4] * Peak Production of Petroleum in US [slide 5] * Projected World Peak Production of Petroleum [slide 6] * Projected World Peak Production of Petroleum [slide 7] * Regional Shares of Crude Oil [slide 8] * World Oil Production [slide 9] * World Total Primary Energy Supply [slide 10] + World Total Energy Consumption Projections [slide 11] * World Total Energy Consumption Projections (by fuel type) [slide 12] * World Total Energy Consumption 1990 -2020 (by region) [slide 13] + U.S. Energy Flow [slide 14] + U.S. Energy Consumption and Renewable Supply [slide 15] + Additional Resources [slide 16] aA

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Non-Renewable Energy Sources * Conventional - Petroleum - Natural Gas - Coal - Nuclear * Unconventional (examples) - Oil Shale - Natural gas hydrates in marine sediment aA

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Renewable Energy Sources ¢ Solar photovoltaics * Solar thermal power ¢ Passive solar air and water heating ° Wind ¢ Hydropower * Biomass * Ocean energy * Geothermal * Waste to Energy aA

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Peak Production of an TTC جح هد دج [ یلح ( ۲ Lower 48 Crude Oil Reserves & Production, 1945-2000 4.0 35 Crude Oil Annual Production, Billion Barrels oo 1995 2000 Lower 43 Reserves > = Lower 48 Production 1985 1990 — Peak oo‘ PProcuction 1910 1955 1960 1965 1970 1975 ۵ 40 Peak Reserves 19 و3 36 26 20 15 10 5 3 19145 1950 Crude Od Reserves, Billion Barrels

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Projected World Peak Production of Petroleum 2 او ات بای 0 2050 2040 2030 2020 2010 2000 1990 1980 1970 1960 1950 1940 1930 ANNUAL OIL PRODUCTION (BILLIONS OF BARRELS)

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12 EIA World Conventional Oil Production Scenarios 90 1 1 . USGS Eslimates of Ultimate Recovery Peak Range ‏یه‎ et ve oe: =| Ultimate Recovery 224 ۳ 2112 Probabilt 885 7011 ۷ 2 Low (95 %) 2,248 900 Billion Bis > 60 (Mean (expected value) 3 Moves Peak 10 8 High (5 9%) 3,896 Years 2 oy LI From 2037 - 2047 250 3 540 2 s 30 5 History 20 ‘Mean —Low (95%) 10 | High 6 %) 0 1900 1925 ۰ 1950 ۰ 1975 ۰ 2000 ۰۰ 2025 2050 2075 2100 5 Hote: U.S. volues were added to the USGS foreign volurresto obtain world totals.

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0999© ‏ام‎ Gkares oP Cnide Oil Non- Asia® Latin OECD Ching 5:!% America ۱ Europe 47% 10.0% Africa 0.3% ۱ 10.1% Former USSR 10.7% © . aA Middle East 30.6%

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World Incremental Oil Production 1997-2010 1997-2010 2010-2020 2010-2020 HW OPEC Middle East [J Other OPEC Ml Non OPEC mb /d

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(OFS Owe) Combustble Hydro Renewables ‏رین‎ ‎& Waste 2.3% ‏یود(‎ 0.4% @Other includes geothermal, solar, wind, heat, etc.

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World Energy Consumntioan 00 Quadrillion Btu Projections 612 555 د ص قم کي کي کي کي هي کی کی کي ای

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World Energy Dannrzimntian Quadrillion Btu 250 - Projections 100 - Coal 50- Renewables Nuclear 1 1 2000 2010 2020 1 1 1970 1980 1990

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1209 78.4 25.4 97.3 57.3 607.7 World Total Energy Consumption 1990 -2020 (Quadrillion Btu) 1997 94.2 640 21.3 36.7 40.8 379.9 Region/Country 0 United States 84.0 Westem Europe 59.9 Japan 18.1 China 27.0 Former Soviet Union 61.0 Total World 346.7 aA

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U.S. Energy Flow, 1999 Transporation

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U.S. Energy Consumption by Source, 1998 Renewable Energy Sources All Energy Sources (7.0 Quadrillion Btu) (94.2 Quadrillion Btu) Solar 1% Geothermal 5% Natural Gas Biomass 43% 23% Petroleum 39% Wind < 0.5% Renewable Hydroelectric 50% Nuclear Electric 8% aA Totals may nat equal sum of components due to independent rounding 15

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Additional Resources * US Department of Energy, Energy Information Administration - web site: www.eia.doe.gov

Energy Resources: Production and Consumption Environmental Sustainability Educational Resources prepared by Gregory A. Keoleian Associate Research Scientist, School of Natural Resources and Environment Co-Director, Center for Sustainable Systems University of Michigan 1 Contents • Non-Renewable Energy Resources 3] [slide • Renewable Energy Sources 4] [slide • Peak Production of Petroleum in US 5] [slide • Projected World Peak Production of Petroleum 6] [slide • Projected World Peak Production of Petroleum 7] [slide • Regional Shares of Crude Oil 8] [slide • World Oil Production 9] [slide • World Total Primary Energy Supply 10] [slide • World Total Energy Consumption Projections 11] [slide • World Total Energy Consumption Projections 12] • World Total Energy Consumption 1990 -2020 (by region) 13] [slide • U.S. Energy Flow 14] [slide • U.S. Energy Consumption and Renewable Supply 15] [slide • Additional Resources 16] [slide (by fuel type) [slide 2 Non-Renewable Energy Sources • Conventional – – – – Petroleum Natural Gas Coal Nuclear • Unconventional (examples) – Oil Shale – Natural gas hydrates in marine sediment 3 • • • • • • • • • Renewable Energy Sources Solar photovoltaics Solar thermal power Passive solar air and water heating Wind Hydropower Biomass Ocean energy Geothermal Waste to Energy 4 Peak Production of Petroleum in US 5 Projected World Peak Production of Petroleum 6 7 1999 Regional Shares of Crude Oil Production (3445 Mt) 8 9 World Total Primary Energy Supply in 1998 (9491 Mtoe) **Other includes geothermal, solar, wind, heat, etc. 10 World Energy Consumption 11 World Energy Consumption 12 World Total Energy Consumption 1990 -2020 (Quadrillion Btu) Region/Country 1990 United States 84.0 Western Europe 59.9 Japan 18.1 China 27.0 Former Soviet Union 61.0 Total World 346.7 1997 94.2 64.0 21.3 36.7 40.8 379.9 2020 120.9 78.4 25.4 97.3 57.3 607.7 13 U.S. Energy Flow, 1999 14 U.S. Energy Consumption by Source, 1998 15 Additional Resources • US Department of Energy, Energy Information Administration – web site: www.eia.doe.gov 16

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